Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#214
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#208
Pace66.4#239
Improvement+2.0#103

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#188
First Shot+1.2#143
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#300
Layup/Dunks+2.5#82
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#101
Freethrows-0.7#234
Improvement+3.3#44

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#240
First Shot-1.3#211
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#279
Layups/Dunks-0.9#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement-1.3#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 20.0 - 4.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 34.0 - 6.04.0 - 11.0
Quad 411.0 - 6.015.0 - 17.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 11   @ Auburn L 58-101 3%     0 - 1 -23.5 -10.1 -11.9
  Nov 16, 2018 265   Chattanooga W 73-54 72%     1 - 1 +10.1 -6.3 +16.1
  Nov 17, 2018 264   Jacksonville L 48-71 72%     1 - 2 -31.8 -28.5 -3.2
  Nov 19, 2018 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-58 81%     2 - 2 +8.7 +0.4 +8.4
  Nov 23, 2018 78   @ Texas A&M L 62-74 14%     2 - 3 -3.0 -0.5 -3.5
  Nov 28, 2018 109   @ Southern Miss L 67-71 18%     2 - 4 +3.1 +4.2 -1.5
  Dec 01, 2018 323   Florida A&M W 66-57 84%     3 - 4 -4.7 -3.9 -0.2
  Dec 05, 2018 253   @ New Orleans L 60-71 49%     3 - 5 -13.7 -9.4 -4.7
  Dec 08, 2018 282   Tulane W 81-60 74%     4 - 5 +11.3 +6.8 +5.1
  Dec 19, 2018 348   Alabama A&M W 79-67 92%     5 - 5 -6.8 -1.1 -6.0
  Dec 29, 2018 184   Richmond L 82-91 55%     5 - 6 -13.2 +6.1 -19.6
  Jan 03, 2019 201   Appalachian St. W 79-73 59%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +0.7 -3.3 +3.7
  Jan 05, 2019 167   Coastal Carolina W 84-77 2OT 52%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +3.6 -5.3 +7.8
  Jan 10, 2019 248   @ Arkansas St. L 65-66 49%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -3.6 -8.4 +4.9
  Jan 12, 2019 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 62-91 44%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -30.2 -12.3 -16.9
  Jan 17, 2019 116   Georgia St. L 66-69 35%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -1.9 -9.1 +7.3
  Jan 19, 2019 111   Georgia Southern L 86-88 OT 34%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -0.6 +2.6 -2.9
  Jan 24, 2019 178   @ Louisiana L 84-88 32%     7 - 11 2 - 5 -2.1 +7.2 -9.2
  Jan 26, 2019 145   @ Louisiana Monroe W 78-72 25%     8 - 11 3 - 5 +10.4 +7.9 +2.8
  Feb 02, 2019 249   Troy W 81-75 70%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -2.1 +8.6 -10.2
  Feb 07, 2019 248   Arkansas St. W 70-62 69%     10 - 11 5 - 5 -0.1 +1.3 -0.3
  Feb 09, 2019 229   Arkansas Little Rock L 68-73 65%     10 - 12 5 - 6 -11.7 -10.0 -1.5
  Feb 13, 2019 111   @ Georgia Southern L 65-75 18%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -3.0 -3.5 +0.3
  Feb 15, 2019 116   @ Georgia St. L 81-90 18%     10 - 14 5 - 8 -2.3 +3.0 -4.4
  Feb 23, 2019 249   @ Troy W 68-52 49%     11 - 14 6 - 8 +13.4 -1.8 +16.6
  Feb 28, 2019 150   Texas Arlington L 57-75 46%     11 - 15 6 - 9 -19.7 -3.0 -20.3
  Mar 02, 2019 138   Texas St. W 77-63 41%     12 - 15 7 - 9 +13.4 +18.2 -2.7
  Mar 07, 2019 167   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-92 31%     12 - 16 7 - 10 -19.8 -2.3 -17.4
  Mar 09, 2019 201   @ Appalachian St. W 78-71 38%     13 - 16 8 - 10 +7.3 +3.5 +3.9
  Mar 12, 2019 248   Arkansas St. W 75-67 69%     14 - 16 -0.1 +3.2 -2.6
  Mar 14, 2019 178   Louisiana W 70-69 43%     15 - 16 +0.1 -5.3 +5.4
  Mar 15, 2019 138   Texas St. L 67-79 31%     15 - 17 -9.8 -1.3 -8.7
Projected Record 15.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%